NHL hit-rate report · Nov 10
Every NHL player line on tonight's board (shots, points and more), checked against his own games this season: how often he cleared it, what DraftKings charges, and what the price says his chance really is. Tap a price to start a ticket.
DraftKings prices as of Tue Nov 10, 5:12 PM PT · game logs this season, through last night
Takes the most consistent lines in the view you pick (60% or better, every-game hitters first), one per game, priced at DraftKings. Press again to reshuffle.
Only games he played count; a missed game isn't a miss. Bold numbers cleared the line. Prices are DraftKings's, when DraftKings posts that line. The fair chance is a market snapshot, not a prediction. A streak isn't a promise. Lines move; check your book.
How to read the report
What is a hit rate?
How often a player cleared this exact line in his own games this season. 4/5 on over 2.5 shots on goal means he had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 5 games. Only games he played count, so a night off is not a miss. Bold numbers in a row are the games that cleared.
Does a hot streak mean the line hits again?
Not by itself. Sportsbooks read the same game logs and set the main line close to a coin flip. That is why every row shows the fair chance next to the streak: the streak is what he did, the fair chance is what the prices say happens next.
What are safer lines?
DraftKings posts lower lines for the same player at a shorter price (alt lines). The Safer lines view finds the highest one he has cleared in every game of the window. They pay less, and "every game so far" is not every game from here on.
What is the fair chance?
The line's real chance according to the sportsbooks' own prices, with the books' cut taken out. It is a market snapshot from our last pull, not a prediction. A 10 for 10 line with a 55% fair chance is a 55% line.
How does the ticket work?
Tap a price to add that leg, or use Build it for me to take the most consistent lines in the view you picked, one per game. The bar at the bottom shows the payout at DraftKings and the real odds. Open ticket loads it in the parlay machine, where you can swap legs, compare what each book pays and save the image.
How often does it update?
Every morning with the day's NHL lines, and again when we re-pull before the games. Game logs run through last night. Lines move, so check the line and price on your slip.