Research favorites: the public record
Each game day the machine names five research favorites per sport: the legs its research rates highest (game logs at the line, the matchup, the projection). They are locked before the games, never changed, and graded from the box scores. Every result stays here, hits and misses, beside the chance the market gave each leg. A rating, not a prediction: most of these are close to coin flips, and the record shows whether the research beats the market or not.
34 of 70 hit
The market expected 33.62 (48%). We hit 49%. Voided and pushed legs are left out.
| Sport | Hit | Market expected |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | 7 of 16 | 7.33 |
| NHL | 27 of 54 | 26.29 |
Today: NHL
- Sam Reinhart · Over 0.5 assists
Florida Panthers @ Columbus Blue Jackets · Tue Nov 10, 4:30 PM PT+155
37% market· pending · 4 of 4 vs CBJ · best price at BetMGM - Andrew Copp · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Detroit Red Wings @ St. Louis Blues · Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM PT-115
51% market· pending · Under in 8 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs STL · best price at BetMGM - Jesper Bratt · Over 0.5 assists
New Jersey Devils @ Winnipeg Jets · Tue Nov 10, 4:00 PM PT+100
49% market· pending · Over in 8 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs WPG · best price at BetMGM - Matthew Knies · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Florida Panthers @ Columbus Blue Jackets · Tue Nov 10, 4:30 PM PT+110
46% market· pending · Under in 7 of last 10 · 3 of 4 vs FLA · best price at Hard Rock - Thomas Chabot · Over 0.5 points
Washington Capitals @ Ottawa Senators · Tue Nov 10, 4:00 PM PT+130
44% market· pending · Over in 6 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs WSH · best price at Hard Rock
Every graded day
Mon Nov 9 · NHL · 3 of 5
- Macklin Celebrini · Under 0.5 assists
New York Islanders @ San Jose Sharks · Mon Nov 9, 7:00 PM PT+115
45% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 6 of last 10 · NYI allows the 6th-fewest assists · best price at Hard Rock - Vasily Podkolzin · Under 0.5 points
New York Rangers @ Edmonton Oilers · Mon Nov 9, 5:00 PM PT-115
55% market✗ miss (1) · Under in 7 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs NYR · best price at BetMGM - Linus Karlsson · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Philadelphia Flyers @ Vancouver Canucks · Mon Nov 9, 6:30 PM PT-111
52% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 6 of last 10 · PHI allows the 4th-fewest shots on goal · best price at BetMGM - Mason Marchment · Under 1.5 shots on goal
New York Islanders @ San Jose Sharks · Mon Nov 9, 7:00 PM PT+110
46% market✗ miss (4) · Under in 6 of last 10 · 3 of 4 vs NYI · best price at BetMGM - Marco Rossi · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Philadelphia Flyers @ Vancouver Canucks · Mon Nov 9, 6:30 PM PT-150
57% market✓ hit (1) · Under in 6 of last 10 · PHI allows the 4th-fewest shots on goal · best price at DraftKings
Mon Nov 9 · NFL · 2 of 2
- Justin Jefferson · Under 6.5 receptions
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon Nov 9, 5:15 PM PT-111
51% market✓ hit (3) · Under in 5 of last 5 · BUF allows the 8th-fewest receptions to WRs · best price at DraftKings - James Cook III · Yes Anytime TD
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon Nov 9, 5:15 PM PT+100
50% market✓ hit (1) · Hit in 5 of last 5 · best price at BetMGM
Sun Nov 8 · NHL · 1 of 5
- Ben Kindel · Under 0.5 points
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Anaheim Ducks · Sun Nov 8, 5:00 PM PT-115
50% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 9 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs ANA · best price at DraftKings - Leo Carlsson · Under 2.5 shots on goal
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Anaheim Ducks · Sun Nov 8, 5:00 PM PT-120
53% market✗ miss (3) · Under in 8 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs PIT · best price at DraftKings - Arseny Gritsyuk · Over 0.5 points
New Jersey Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs · Sun Nov 8, 4:00 PM PT+110
44% market✗ miss (0) · Over in 7 of last 10 · TOR allows the 2nd-most points · best price at BetMGM - Gabriel Vilardi · Under 0.5 points
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets · Sun Nov 8, 3:00 PM PT+110
45% market✗ miss (1) · TBL allows the 3rd-fewest points · 3 of 3 vs TBL · best price at DraftKings - Dougie Hamilton · Over 2.5 shots on goal
New Jersey Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs · Sun Nov 8, 4:00 PM PT+140
40% market✗ miss (1) · TOR allows the 1st-most shots on goal · 3 of 3 vs TOR · best price at DraftKings
Sun Nov 8 · NFL · 3 of 5
- Trey McBride · Over 6.5 receptions
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks · Sun Nov 8, 1:25 PM PT-135
56% market✓ hit (7) · Over in 5 of last 5 · SEA allows the 8th-most receptions to TEs · best price at BetMGM - Devin Singletary · Under 55.5 rushing yards
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles · Sun Nov 8, 10:00 AM PT-113
48% market✓ hit (31) · Under in 5 of last 5 · 2 of 2 vs PHI · best price at FanDuel - Tory Horton · Under 1.5 receptions
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks · Sun Nov 8, 1:25 PM PT+142
39% market✗ miss (2) · Under in 4 of last 5 · 2 of 2 vs ARI · best price at FanDuel - Joe Milton · Under 31.5 pass attempts
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles · Sun Nov 8, 10:00 AM PT-109
50% market✗ miss (34) · Under in 4 of last 4 · Projection 60% vs market 50% · best price at DraftKings - Geno Smith · Under 32.5 pass attempts
New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs · Sun Nov 8, 10:00 AM PT-113
51% market✓ hit (32) · Under in 5 of last 5 · best price at DraftKings
Sat Nov 7 · NHL · 1 of 4
- Josh Anderson · Over 1.5 shots on goal
Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs · Sat Nov 7, 4:00 PM PT-120
51% market– void · Over in 8 of last 10 · TOR allows the 1st-most shots on goal · best price at DraftKings - Logan Stankoven · Over 0.5 points
Chicago Blackhawks @ Carolina Hurricanes · Sat Nov 7, 5:00 PM PT-135
55% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 8 of last 10 · CHI allows the 7th-most points · best price at DraftKings - Jake Neighbours · Over 0.5 assists
St. Louis Blues @ Nashville Predators · Sat Nov 7, 10:00 AM PT+195
31% market✗ miss (0) · NSH allows the 8th-most assists · 3 of 4 vs NSH · best price at Hard Rock - Matthew Schaefer · Under 2.5 shots on goal
New Jersey Devils @ New York Islanders · Sat Nov 7, 4:00 PM PT+130
41% market✗ miss (3) · 4 of 4 vs NJD · best price at Hard Rock - Ben Kindel · Under 0.5 points
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Los Angeles Kings · Sat Nov 7, 6:00 PM PT-120
53% market✗ miss (1) · Under in 9 of last 10 · LAK allows the 8th-fewest points · best price at Hard Rock
Fri Nov 6 · NHL · 3 of 5
- Quinn Hughes · Over 2.5 shots on goal
San Jose Sharks @ Minnesota Wild · Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM PT-110
50% market✗ miss (2) · Over in 7 of last 10 · SJS allows the 7th-most shots on goal · best price at Hard Rock - Jackson LaCombe · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Anaheim Ducks @ Calgary Flames · Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM PT-120
53% market✗ miss (2) · Under in 9 of last 10 · 3 of 4 vs CGY · best price at BetMGM - Ryan Strome · Over 1.5 shots on goal
Anaheim Ducks @ Calgary Flames · Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM PT+110
49% market✓ hit (2) · 4 of 4 vs ANA · best price at BetMGM - Valeri Nichushkin · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Buffalo Sabres · Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM PT-120
52% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 7 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs BUF · best price at Hard Rock - Zach Werenski · Over 2.5 shots on goal
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Buffalo Sabres · Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM PT-135
56% market✓ hit (3) · Over in 6 of last 10 · 4 of 4 vs BUF · best price at Hard Rock
Thu Nov 5 · NHL · 3 of 5
- Jackson LaCombe · Over 0.5 assists
Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers · Thu Nov 5, 5:00 PM PT-105
48% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 8 of last 10 · EDM allows the 6th-most assists · best price at BetMGM - Filip Forsberg · Over 0.5 assists
Nashville Predators @ Colorado Avalanche · Thu Nov 5, 6:30 PM PT+140
43% market✗ miss (0) · Over in 7 of last 10 · 4 of 4 vs COL · best price at Hard Rock - Evan Bouchard · Over 0.5 assists
Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers · Thu Nov 5, 5:00 PM PT-165
62% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 9 of last 10 · ANA allows the 4th-most assists · best price at BetMGM - Trevor Zegras · Over 0.5 points
Philadelphia Flyers @ New York Rangers · Thu Nov 5, 4:00 PM PT-115
54% market✗ miss (0) · Over in 8 of last 10 · 4 of 4 vs NYR · best price at BetMGM - Ben Kindel · Under 0.5 points
Boston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins · Thu Nov 5, 4:00 PM PT-115
52% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 8 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs BOS · best price at Hard Rock
Thu Nov 5 · NFL · 0 of 2
- Zay Flowers · Over 5.5 receptions
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens · Thu Nov 5, 5:15 PM PT+215
32% market✗ miss (3) · Over in 4 of last 5 · JAX allows the 3rd-most receptions to WRs · best price at BetRivers - Rashod Bateman · Over 15.5 receiving yards
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens · Thu Nov 5, 5:15 PM PT-110
49% market✗ miss (6) · Over in 4 of last 5 · Projection 73% vs market 49% · best price at Hard Rock
Wed Nov 4 · NHL · 4 of 5
- Sam Bennett · Under 0.5 assists
Chicago Blackhawks @ Florida Panthers · Wed Nov 4, 4:30 PM PT-145
58% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 10 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs CHI · best price at DraftKings - Artemi Panarin · Over 2.5 shots on goal
San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings · Wed Nov 4, 7:00 PM PT-145
57% market✓ hit (3) · Over in 8 of last 10 · SJS allows the 7th-most shots on goal · best price at DraftKings - Matty Beniers · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Calgary Flames @ Seattle Kraken · Wed Nov 4, 7:00 PM PT+140
42% market✓ hit (1) · Under in 6 of last 10 · 3 of 4 vs CGY · best price at Hard Rock - Kiefer Sherwood · Over 1.5 shots on goal
San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings · Wed Nov 4, 7:00 PM PT-135
54% market✓ hit (2) · Over in 7 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs LAK · best price at DraftKings - Tim Stutzle · Under 0.5 assists
Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres · Wed Nov 4, 4:30 PM PT-105
50% market✗ miss (1) · 3 of 3 vs BUF · best price at Hard Rock
Tue Nov 3 · NHL · 3 of 5
- Anthony Cirelli · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning · Tue Nov 3, 4:00 PM PT+110
44% market✗ miss (5) · Under in 7 of last 10 · 4 of 4 vs DET · best price at Hard Rock - Vincent Trocheck · Over 1.5 shots on goal
Utah Mammoth @ Toronto Maple Leafs · Tue Nov 3, 4:00 PM PT-105
49% market✗ miss (0) · Over in 7 of last 10 · TOR allows the 1st-most shots on goal · best price at DraftKings - Jack Eichel · Under 2.5 shots on goal
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins · Tue Nov 3, 4:00 PM PT+105
46% market✓ hit (1) · Under in 6 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs PIT · best price at DraftKings - Ivan Barbashev · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins · Tue Nov 3, 4:00 PM PT-125
54% market✓ hit (1) · Under in 7 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs PIT · best price at Hard Rock - Matthew Knies · Under 0.5 assists
Colorado Avalanche @ Columbus Blue Jackets · Tue Nov 3, 4:00 PM PT-200
66% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 9 of last 10 · COL allows the 1st-fewest assists · best price at DraftKings
Mon Nov 2 · NHL · 1 of 5
- Justin Faulk · Over 0.5 points
Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers · Mon Nov 2, 4:00 PM PT+175
32% market✓ hit (2) · FLA allows the 5th-most points · 4 of 4 vs FLA · best price at DraftKings - Sam Bennett · Under 0.5 points
Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers · Mon Nov 2, 4:00 PM PT-115
50% market✗ miss (1) · Under in 9 of last 10 · 2 of 3 vs DET · best price at BetMGM - Cale Makar · Over 2.5 shots on goal
Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks · Mon Nov 2, 5:00 PM PT-113
51% market✗ miss (2) · Over in 6 of last 10 · CHI allows the 2nd-most shots on goal · best price at FanDuel - Will Smith · Over 2.5 shots on goal
Calgary Flames @ San Jose Sharks · Mon Nov 2, 6:00 PM PT-114
52% market✗ miss (2) · Over in 8 of last 10 · CGY allows the 3rd-most shots on goal · best price at FanDuel - Jack Eichel · Yes Anytime Goal
Vegas Golden Knights @ Boston Bruins · Mon Nov 2, 4:00 PM PT+185
32% market✗ miss (0) · 2 of 2 vs BOS · best price at DraftKings
Mon Nov 2 · NFL · 1 of 2
- Sam Darnold · Over 0.5 interceptions thrown
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks · Mon Nov 2, 5:15 PM PT+103
49% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 5 of last 5 · CHI allows the 2nd-most interceptions thrown to QBs · best price at DraftKings - Emanuel Wilson · Over 24.5 rushing yards
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks · Mon Nov 2, 5:15 PM PT+140
40% market✗ miss (0) · Over in 4 of last 5 · Projection 59% vs market 40% · best price at DraftKings
Sun Nov 1 · NHL · 2 of 5
- Jackson LaCombe · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks · Sun Nov 1, 5:00 PM PT-125
56% market✗ miss (2) · Under in 10 of last 10 · OTT allows the 2nd-fewest shots on goal · best price at Hard Rock - Tom Wilson · Over 2.5 shots on goal
Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals · Sun Nov 1, 12:30 PM PT+172
36% market✗ miss (2) · Over in 6 of last 10 · MIN allows the 6th-most shots on goal · best price at FanDuel - Mark Jankowski · Over 0.5 points
Winnipeg Jets @ Carolina Hurricanes · Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT+150
39% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 7 of last 10 · 2 of 3 vs WPG · best price at DraftKings - Cole Perfetti · Over 1.5 shots on goal
Winnipeg Jets @ Carolina Hurricanes · Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT-182
62% market✓ hit (3) · Over in 9 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs CAR · best price at FanDuel - Drake Batherson · Over 2.5 shots on goal
Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks · Sun Nov 1, 5:00 PM PT+144
38% market✗ miss (1) · 2 of 2 vs ANA · best price at FanDuel
Sun Nov 1 · NFL · 1 of 5
- Aaron Jones Sr. · Over 39.5 rushing yards
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions · Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT+197
33% market✗ miss (22) · Over in 4 of last 5 · 2 of 2 vs DET · best price at DraftKings - Jeremy McNichols · Under 20.5 rushing yards
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders · Sun Nov 1, 5:20 PM PT-110
50% market✗ miss (21) · Under in 5 of last 5 · 2 of 2 vs PHI · best price at BetMGM - Jonathan Taylor · Over 14.5 rush attempts
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT-114
50% market✗ miss (8) · Over in 5 of last 5 · 2 of 2 vs JAX · best price at DraftKings - Jerry Jeudy · Over 2.5 receptions
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT+155
39% market✗ miss (0) · Over in 4 of last 5 · PIT allows the 4th-most receptions to WRs · best price at Fanatics - Rachaad White · Under 11.5 rush attempts
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders · Sun Nov 1, 5:20 PM PT+105
45% market✓ hit (11) · Under in 5 of last 5 · 2 of 2 vs PHI · best price at BetMGM
Sat Oct 31 · NHL · 4 of 5
- Casey Mittelstadt · Over 0.5 points
Chicago Blackhawks @ Boston Bruins · Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM PT+135
39% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 7 of last 10 · CHI allows the 7th-most points · best price at DraftKings - Quinton Byfield · Under 0.5 points
Buffalo Sabres @ Los Angeles Kings · Sat Oct 31, 1:00 PM PT+110
49% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 8 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs BUF · best price at BetMGM - Nick Paul · Under 1.5 shots on goal
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vancouver Canucks · Sat Oct 31, 4:00 PM PT+105
46% market✗ miss (2) · Under in 9 of last 10 · best price at BetMGM - Drake Batherson · Over 0.5 points
Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks · Sat Oct 31, 1:00 PM PT-155
60% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 8 of last 10 · SJS allows the 3rd-most points · best price at DraftKings - Zach Benson · Over 0.5 assists
Buffalo Sabres @ Los Angeles Kings · Sat Oct 31, 1:00 PM PT+160
37% market✓ hit (2) · Over in 6 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs LAK · best price at Hard Rock
Fri Oct 30 · NHL · 2 of 5
- Chandler Stephenson · Over 0.5 points
Seattle Kraken @ Calgary Flames · Fri Oct 30, 5:00 PM PT+105
48% market✓ hit (1) · Over in 6 of last 10 · 4 of 4 vs CGY · best price at Hard Rock - Seth Jones · Over 2.5 shots on goal
Winnipeg Jets @ Florida Panthers · Fri Oct 30, 4:00 PM PT+142
40% market✗ miss (1) · Over in 7 of last 10 · best price at FanDuel - Sam Bennett · Under 0.5 assists
Winnipeg Jets @ Florida Panthers · Fri Oct 30, 4:00 PM PT-210
65% market✓ hit (0) · Under in 9 of last 10 · 3 of 3 vs WPG · best price at BetMGM - Nico Hischier · Over 2.5 shots on goal
New Jersey Devils @ Vegas Golden Knights · Fri Oct 30, 3:00 PM PT+140
40% market✗ miss (1) · Over in 6 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs VGK · best price at FanDuel - Luke Hughes · Under 0.5 points
New Jersey Devils @ Vegas Golden Knights · Fri Oct 30, 3:00 PM PT-125
53% market✗ miss (1) · Under in 7 of last 10 · 2 of 2 vs VGK · best price at DraftKings
How the favorites are picked
Only legs with a fair chance from the cross-book market, priced from about -220 to +220, one per player and at most two per game, from games that haven't started. Ranked by the research score in our methodology. NFL and NHL only for now: basketball has no research score yet. Prices are the best listed at pick time; lines move.