← Moonshot Parlays · the parlay machine that tells you the odds

NFL player props, every week, with real odds

Each week the machine prices every NFL player prop it can find against the whole market: the best listed price at a licensed US sportsbook, and the fair chance once the books' margin is removed. Every week stays here so you can look back at the lines.

Build an NFL parlay →

How the machine prices a ticket

  1. Translate. American odds become an implied chance for every leg.
  2. Price it fair. Each leg carries its fair chance from the cross-book market; the machine multiplies them for the ticket's true odds. Same-game correlation isn't modeled, and the receipt flags well-known linked pairs.
  3. Show the gap. The book's payout is compared with the fair payout. The difference is the book's hold.

How to find the real odds of any parlay →