NFL Week 10 player props: the machine's pool
236 player-prop legs across 12 games from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Hard Rock, BetRivers, Fanatics. Each shows its best listed price and the market's fair chance, the probability left once each book's margin is removed, anchored on Pinnacle. Lines as of November 10, 2026. Lines move, so verify every line and price at your book.
Build a parlay from these legs →NFL hit-rate report: who's cleared their lines in the last 3, 5 or every game →
Every leg in the Week 10 pool
Washington Commanders @ New York GiantsThu Nov 12, 5:15 PM PT
- Rachaad WhiteWASUnder 39.5 rushing yards-115BetMGM51%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASUnder 35.5 rushing yards-114DraftKings51%fair chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGUnder 18.5 rushing yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGOver 18.5 rushing yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASOver 35.5 rushing yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASOver 39.5 rushing yards-110Hard Rock49%fair chance
- Malachi FieldsNYGUnder 25.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings51%fair chance
- Darnell MooneyNYGOver 15.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics51%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASUnder 13.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings51%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGUnder 67.5 receiving yards-114BetRivers50%fair chance
- Chig OkonkwoWASOver 36.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGOver 67.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Darnell MooneyNYGUnder 15.5 receiving yards-108DraftKings50%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASOver 13.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Antonio WilliamsWASUnder 42.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Antonio WilliamsWASOver 42.5 receiving yards-113DraftKings50%fair chance
- Chig OkonkwoWASUnder 36.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Malachi FieldsNYGOver 25.5 receiving yards-105Fanatics50%fair chance
- Malachi FieldsNYGUnder 2.5 receptions-165BetMGM62%fair chance
- Stefon DiggsWASUnder 4.5 receptions-165DraftKings60%fair chance
- Chig OkonkwoWASOver 3.5 receptions-160BetMGM60%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASUnder 2.5 receptions-150DraftKings59%fair chance
- Devin SingletaryNYGUnder 1.5 receptions-150Fanatics57%fair chance
- Austin EkelerWASUnder 1.5 receptions-141DraftKings57%fair chance
- Antonio WilliamsWASOver 3.5 receptions-140BetMGM56%fair chance
- Van JeffersonWASOver 1.5 receptions-130Hard Rock55%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGOver 5.5 receptions-130FanDuel54%fair chance
- Isaiah LikelyNYGOver 4.5 receptions-120BetMGM53%fair chance
- Darnell MooneyNYGUnder 1.5 receptions-116DraftKings52%fair chance
- Darnell MooneyNYGOver 1.5 receptions+100Fanatics49%fair chance
- Isaiah LikelyNYGUnder 4.5 receptions+105DraftKings47%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGUnder 5.5 receptions+108DraftKings46%fair chance
- Van JeffersonWASUnder 1.5 receptions+106DraftKings46%fair chance
- Antonio WilliamsWASUnder 3.5 receptions+110DraftKings44%fair chance
- Austin EkelerWASOver 1.5 receptions+125BetMGM43%fair chance
- Devin SingletaryNYGOver 1.5 receptions+119DraftKings43%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASOver 2.5 receptions+125BetMGM42%fair chance
- Chig OkonkwoWASUnder 3.5 receptions+130Hard Rock41%fair chance
- Stefon DiggsWASOver 4.5 receptions+130Fanatics40%fair chance
- Malachi FieldsNYGOver 2.5 receptions+144FanDuel38%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGYes Anytime TD+165BetMGM36%est. chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASYes Anytime TD+175BetRivers35%est. chance
- Isaiah LikelyNYGYes Anytime TD+200Fanatics30%est. chance
- Stefon DiggsWASYes Anytime TD+270BetMGM26%est. chance
- Devin SingletaryNYGYes Anytime TD+250BetMGM25%est. chance
- Jayden DanielsWASYes Anytime TD+260BetMGM25%est. chance
- Antonio WilliamsWASYes Anytime TD+290DraftKings23%est. chance
- Chig OkonkwoWASYes Anytime TD+290BetMGM23%est. chance
- Austin EkelerWASYes Anytime TD+330BetRivers21%est. chance
- Malachi FieldsNYGYes Anytime TD+475DraftKings15%est. chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGYes Anytime TD+450BetRivers15%est. chance
- Van JeffersonWASYes Anytime TD+650BetRivers14%est. chance
- Darnell MooneyNYGYes Anytime TD+750DraftKings9%est. chance
- Theo JohnsonNYGYes Anytime TD+900BetMGM8%est. chance
- Luke McCaffreyWASYes Anytime TD+1,150BetRivers7%est. chance
- John BatesWASYes Anytime TD+1,750BetMGM4%est. chance
- Charlie JonesNYGYes Anytime TD+2,400BetRivers3%est. chance
- Ben SinnottWASYes Anytime TD+2,500DraftKings3%est. chance
- Colson YankoffWASYes Anytime TD+3,000DraftKings2%est. chance
- Patrick RicardNYGYes Anytime TD+3,500DraftKings2%est. chance
- Chris ManhertzNYGYes Anytime TD+4,000Hard Rock2%est. chance
- Jayden DanielsWASUnder 1.5 passing tds-190BetRivers65%fair chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGUnder 1.5 passing tds-182FanDuel64%fair chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGOver 0.5 interceptions thrown-132DraftKings54%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASUnder 0.5 interceptions thrown-127BetRivers54%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASOver 10.5 rush attempts-120Hard Rock54%fair chance
- Devin SingletaryNYGOver 7.5 rush attempts-120BetMGM52%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASUnder 19.5 pass completions-119DraftKings51%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASUnder 31.5 pass attempts-113DraftKings51%fair chance
- Austin EkelerWASOver 7.5 rush attempts-114DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASOver 31.5 pass attempts-105BetMGM50%fair chance
- Austin EkelerWASUnder 7.5 rush attempts-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASOver 19.5 pass completions-105BetMGM49%fair chance
- Devin SingletaryNYGUnder 7.5 rush attempts-105DraftKings49%fair chance
- Rachaad WhiteWASUnder 10.5 rush attempts+105BetMGM47%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASOver 0.5 interceptions thrown+105Hard Rock47%fair chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGUnder 0.5 interceptions thrown+105Hard Rock46%fair chance
- J.J. McCarthyNYGOver 1.5 passing tds+161DraftKings37%fair chance
- Jayden DanielsWASOver 1.5 passing tds+160DraftKings36%fair chance
New England Patriots @ Detroit LionsSun Nov 15, 6:30 AM PT
- Isaac TeSlaaDETOver 20.5 receiving yards-116DraftKings51%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETOver 30.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings51%fair chance
- Jameson WilliamsDETOver 55.5 receiving yards-114DraftKings50%fair chance
- Sam LaPortaDETOver 43.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Sam LaPortaDETUnder 43.5 receiving yards-113DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jameson WilliamsDETUnder 55.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETUnder 30.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Isaac TeSlaaDETUnder 20.5 receiving yards-108DraftKings49%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETUnder 4.5 receptions-130FanDuel56%fair chance
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDETUnder 7.5 receptions-135Hard Rock55%fair chance
- Isaac TeSlaaDETOver 1.5 receptions-125Fanatics54%fair chance
- Jameson WilliamsDETOver 3.5 receptions-130DraftKings54%fair chance
- Isaac TeSlaaDETUnder 1.5 receptions+109DraftKings46%fair chance
- Jameson WilliamsDETUnder 3.5 receptions+105Hard Rock46%fair chance
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDETOver 7.5 receptions+113DraftKings45%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETOver 4.5 receptions+120DraftKings45%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETYes Anytime TD-265Fanatics73%est. chance
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDETYes Anytime TD-105DraftKings50%est. chance
- Corey KinerNEYes Anytime TD+110FanDuel46%est. chance
- Jameson WilliamsDETYes Anytime TD+200DraftKings31%est. chance
- Sam LaPortaDETYes Anytime TD+205DraftKings31%est. chance
- DeMario DouglasNEYes Anytime TD+250Fanatics26%est. chance
- Hunter HenryNEYes Anytime TD+250BetMGM26%est. chance
- Mack HollinsNEYes Anytime TD+260BetMGM25%est. chance
- Drake MayeNEYes Anytime TD+300DraftKings23%est. chance
- Eli RaridonNEYes Anytime TD+290DraftKings23%est. chance
- Lan LarisonNEYes Anytime TD+450DraftKings18%est. chance
- Efton Chism IIINEYes Anytime TD+400BetMGM18%est. chance
- Isaac TeSlaaDETYes Anytime TD+420Fanatics16%est. chance
- Kyle WilliamsNEYes Anytime TD+425DraftKings15%est. chance
- Sione VakiDETYes Anytime TD+550FanDuel14%est. chance
- Brock WrightDETYes Anytime TD+1,000BetMGM7%est. chance
- DeAndre CarterDETYes Anytime TD+1,200DraftKings5%est. chance
- Jared GoffDETYes Anytime TD+1,500DraftKings4%est. chance
- Tyler ConklinDETYes Anytime TD+1,900DraftKings4%est. chance
- Cameron LatuNEYes Anytime TD+2,250Hard Rock3%est. chance
- Tay MartinDETYes Anytime TD+4,000Hard Rock2%est. chance
- Jared GoffDETOver 1.5 passing tds-178DraftKings63%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEOver 1.5 passing tds-138FanDuel56%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEUnder 4.5 rush attempts-125Fanatics53%fair chance
- Corey KinerNEUnder 13.5 rush attempts-115Hard Rock51%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETUnder 20.5 rush attempts-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jahmyr GibbsDETOver 20.5 rush attempts-114DraftKings50%fair chance
- Corey KinerNEOver 13.5 rush attempts-110Fanatics49%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEOver 4.5 rush attempts+100DraftKings47%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEUnder 1.5 passing tds+115DraftKings44%fair chance
- Jared GoffDETUnder 1.5 passing tds+154FanDuel38%fair chance
Buffalo Bills @ New York JetsSun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PT
- James Cook IIIBUFYes Anytime TD-185Hard Rock66%est. chance
- Josh AllenBUFYes Anytime TD-180DraftKings65%est. chance
- Breece HallNYJYes Anytime TD+120DraftKings44%est. chance
- Braelon AllenNYJYes Anytime TD+125DraftKings41%est. chance
- DJ MooreBUFYes Anytime TD+175DraftKings33%est. chance
- Dalton KincaidBUFYes Anytime TD+185DraftKings31%est. chance
- Khalil ShakirBUFYes Anytime TD+240Fanatics25%est. chance
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans SaintsSun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PT
- Chuba HubbardCARYes Anytime TD-160DraftKings62%est. chance
- Chris OlaveNOYes Anytime TD+120DraftKings44%est. chance
- Tetairoa McMillanCARYes Anytime TD+125DraftKings43%est. chance
- Audric EstimeNOYes Anytime TD+140DraftKings38%est. chance
- Alvin KamaraNOYes Anytime TD+150DraftKings37%est. chance
- Jalen CokerCARYes Anytime TD+185Fanatics32%est. chance
Houston Texans @ Cleveland BrownsSun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PT
- Nico CollinsHOUYes Anytime TD+140DraftKings38%est. chance
- Quinshon JudkinsCLEYes Anytime TD+140DraftKings38%est. chance
- Harold Fannin Jr.CLEYes Anytime TD+300DraftKings23%est. chance
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee TitansSun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PT
- Bhayshul TutenJAXYes Anytime TD-135DraftKings57%est. chance
- Parker WashingtonJAXYes Anytime TD-110DraftKings50%est. chance
- Tony PollardTENYes Anytime TD+100DraftKings48%est. chance
- Jakobi MeyersJAXYes Anytime TD+200DraftKings29%est. chance
- Brenton StrangeJAXYes Anytime TD+210Fanatics29%est. chance
- Wan'Dale RobinsonTENYes Anytime TD+330Fanatics20%est. chance
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta FalconsSun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PT
- Kenneth Walker IIIKCYes Anytime TD-210DraftKings69%est. chance
- Bijan RobinsonATLYes Anytime TD-195DraftKings67%est. chance
- Rashee RiceKCYes Anytime TD+155DraftKings37%est. chance
- Drake LondonATLYes Anytime TD+180DraftKings33%est. chance
- Travis KelceKCYes Anytime TD+185Fanatics32%est. chance
- Kyle Pitts Sr.ATLYes Anytime TD+300DraftKings22%est. chance
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis ColtsSun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PT
- Ollie Gordon IIMIAYes Anytime TD+100DraftKings48%est. chance
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona CardinalsSun Nov 15, 1:05 PM PT
- Kyren WilliamsLARYes Anytime TD-155DraftKings62%est. chance
- Blake CorumLARYes Anytime TD+110DraftKings46%est. chance
- Tyler AllgeierARIYes Anytime TD+150Fanatics37%est. chance
- Trey McBrideARIYes Anytime TD+200DraftKings29%est. chance
Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas RaidersSun Nov 15, 1:05 PM PT
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAYes Anytime TD-110DraftKings50%est. chance
- Zach CharbonnetSEAYes Anytime TD+110DraftKings46%est. chance
- Brock BowersLVYes Anytime TD+110DraftKings45%est. chance
- Ashton JeantyLVYes Anytime TD+120DraftKings43%est. chance
San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas CowboysSun Nov 15, 1:25 PM PT
- Christian McCaffreySFYes Anytime TD-340Fanatics78%est. chance
- Javonte WilliamsDALYes Anytime TD-185DraftKings65%est. chance
- CeeDee LambDALYes Anytime TD-125DraftKings55%est. chance
- George KittleSFYes Anytime TD-120DraftKings54%est. chance
- Brock PurdySFYes Anytime TD+280DraftKings23%est. chance
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati BengalsSun Nov 15, 5:20 PM PT
How the machine prices a ticket
- Translate. American odds become an implied chance for every leg.
- Price it fair. Each leg carries its fair chance from the cross-book market; the machine multiplies them for the ticket's real odds. Same-game correlation isn't modeled, and the receipt flags well-known linked pairs.
- Show the gap. The book's payout is compared with the fair payout. The difference is the book's hold.